What if absentee votes had been reported early last year?

U.S. Senator Mark Warner beat his GOP opponent by 12 points last November, but he didn't take the lead until 11 p.m. That was because absentee precincts -- which are usually among the last to report and leaned left in 2020 -- contained massive blocks of votes because of pandemic-inspired early voting. What would the results had looked like if absentee votes been reported soon after the polls close, which is something that could happen tonight?

Actual Timeline of Warner v. Gade Results

Projected Timeline With Early Reporting of Absentees

Source: Virginia Department of Elections